Saturday, March 10, 2007

Top Class A/W Sprint action......

16:35 Wolverhampton

Top class sprint racing today and an ultra competitive race to boot. 11 runners go to post in the 16:35 at Wolves over just short of 6 furlongs and with £18,000 up for grabs we should get an honest run race.

My first thoughts in these top class sprint races is weight isn't the deciding factor - class is, so it's worth concentrating on the top weighted horses.

Qadar heads the weights and market at 5/1 and has held is form remarkably well over the winter, he can be relied upon to run his race.

Bahamian Pirate is next and he came back to form last time at with a win at Southwell. I'm a little concerned that this switch to the faster surface of Wolverhampton might find him out and he isn't the most consistent of runners.

Red Cape is an imposing son of Cape Cross and seems to have improvement in him (Cape Cross's notoriously improve with age) and has already achieved a high level of form on the A/W. He seems to need a strong pace to pull him into a race and for that his defeat at Southwell when clear favourite can be ignored. His 2 pieces of form at Lingfield bring him right into contention here, and with this slightly longer straight likely to benefit him he is very much short-list material (1 out of 1 at Wolves).

Magic Glade has put in a couple of fine performances in recent weeks and although this is a distinct step up in class he should run his race maybe finding one too good.

Ripples Maid is an interesting runner and if improving over the winter she would have a mighty say in this race. She is without doubt the fly in the ointment.

Ajigolo comes into the reckoning on bits of his form - but looks to have a little to find with Qadar on their collateral form.

Of the others Distinctly Game looks to have improved or at least found some of his old form and only the inexperience of jockey Catherine Gannon puts me a off.

All in a all a ultra competitive race where a case can be made for lots of runners. Although there is no certain front runner I still believe due to the prize on offer this will be run at a decent pace. I believe we have yet to see the best of Red Cape and at likely odds of 11/2 he looks a solid E/W bet.

Suggested bet:

16:35 Wolves

2.5pts E/W Red Cape

Tuesday, March 06, 2007

2007 - The Flat Season

It's time to reignite the blog for 2007 - starting with a clean slate on Profit/Loss....

The staking system will be given on a scale of 1pt - 10pt's depending on strength with 10 being strongest :)

I'm not adverse to backing E/W as previous posts will show or having more than one selection per race.

I don't want to go to in depth on my selection process - but just reading the blog should go you a pretty good insight without boring the pants of you :) Anyone who wishes to ask me questions regarding selections/process can e-mail me at melvinouk@yahoo.co.uk.

Wednesday, April 26, 2006

Need to review?

Times Review ran no sort of race and finished out the back - the horses ability to act around Kempton had to be taken on trust and maybe the slowish surface here didn't suit.

Profit/Loss: +£34.70

Still a healthy profit per point - and with the turf racing now starting to settle down a little plenty more winners will follow ;)

Late announcement......

This post may come a little to late for most people - but due to work commitments this has been unforeseen.


I'll keep in short and sweet....

7.28 Kempton

Times Review holds every chance - and has a decent stall position to go with his excellent all-weather jockey John Egan. I believe the right hand rail at Kempton could see some improvement as he has a tendancy to just hang right a little and given that his runs so far at the other all-weather tracks have been good enough for a big say here.


Suggested Bet:

7.28 Kempton

2pts E/W - Times Review