Need to review?

Times Review ran no sort of race and finished out the back - the horses ability to act around Kempton had to be taken on trust and maybe the slowish surface here didn't suit.

Profit/Loss: +£34.70

Still a healthy profit per point - and with the turf racing now starting to settle down a little plenty more winners will follow ;)

Late announcement......

This post may come a little to late for most people - but due to work commitments this has been unforeseen.


I'll keep in short and sweet....

7.28 Kempton

Times Review holds every chance - and has a decent stall position to go with his excellent all-weather jockey John Egan. I believe the right hand rail at Kempton could see some improvement as he has a tendancy to just hang right a little and given that his runs so far at the other all-weather tracks have been good enough for a big say here.


Suggested Bet:

7.28 Kempton

2pts E/W - Times Review

A long way behind.....

Not only did Further Outlook run very poorly, as it transpired he was also drawn on the wrong side of the course!!! It is possible old father time is catching up with him at the age of 12.


Profit/Loss: +£38.70

A bright outlook...........

With plenty of cash in the pot - a chance today is taken on an outsider. Further Outlook goes in the 4.40pm at Thirsk under 7lb claiming jockey Danielle McCreery. I've watched the jockey in action a couple of times and she seems competent enough. Further Outlook is 12 years old now, and doesn't take much riding. The reason for backing Further Outlook today is he is by pounds a better horse with a right hand rail to run against and has every chance of grabbing that today from stall 16 of 20. He also goes with a bit of cut in the ground, can go well fresh and is on a ok mark.

Suggeted Bet:

4.40 Thirsk

1.5pts E/W Futher Outlook

Like all good E/W bets, Sir Nod finishes 5th beaten a short-head after looking like the winner with just 50 yards to go.

This was a very encouraging run after a 170 day absence. Sir Nod just missed the break a little and then made nice progress to lead with a furlong to go - headed just inside the final 50 yards he will strip fitter next time. The run is enhanced if we look at the draw of the first 5 home, 1st - 16, 2nd - 17, 3rd - 13, 4th - 11 and 5th Sir Nod drawn 2. A clear "outlier" here, under similar conditions next time he will be a must bet.

Current Profit/Loss: +£41.70

Want a winner? Just nod.

Sir Nod is one to be on the right side of today. Firstly at Redcar, I always prefer a horse drawn middle to low - and Sir Nod has a nice position in stall 2. Redcar also suits horses up with the pace and Sir Nod is likely to be front-rank all the way. In his last race at Wolverhampton back in October he ran Fyodor to a head only giving best in the final strides. Considering Fyodor was a 4-y-o and that they were racing off level weights - this was some effort when you look at Fyodor's future runs. Fyodor was running off 73 in that race - he has since gone on to record victories off 83, 89 and 98. That run alone gives him an outstanding chance in this race.

With any amount of improvement likely for Sir Nod over the winter he could prove to be very well-handicapped today. The ground is a slight concern with connections suggesting he needs a bit of cut in the ground, but Good to Firm (good in places) shouldn't be too much of a hinderence with his efforts on polytrack fresh in the mind. The fact that he hasn't run for 170 days could also be a negative, but I'd be very surprised if he didn't finish this season on a signficantly higher mark that 78.

Suggested Bet:

3.25 Lingfield

2.5pts E/W Sir Nod

Winning Uncle.....

Wicked Uncle never looked like being out of the first three and under a strong ride from Jimmy "job jockey" Fortune got up to record a good victory at the highly rewarding odds of 6/1!


Current Profit/Loss: +£46.70

Be wicked and take all the bookies money.

The 5.00 at Lingfield presents us with our strongest bet so far this year. Wicked Uncle must be supported at likely odds of 9/2.

Almaty Express will try to make all under Darryl Holland, a difficult thing to do at Lingfield on the polytrack. While Wicked Uncle may have appeared slightly one-paced round here in his recent outings, he looks a cut above these. The way the race will be run is likely to suit him and he is a near certainity to make the frame. At his best when carrying lots of weight against inferior rivals - he finds himself in that position today.

Suggested Bet:

5.00 Lingfield

5pts E/W Wicked Uncle

A little one paced.....

True Magic could only finish fourth in a tightish finish which Ashes was always holding. A step back up to 6 furlongs would probably help, but there were no excuses today and the three that finished in front of True Magic were my three dangers!

Current Profit/Loss: +£10.70

Bit of magic on the polytrack.....

The 4.10pm at Wolverhampton is a 5 furlong 20 yards fillies only handicap and quite competitive at first glance with several of the runners in good recent form.

I have been waiting for True Magic to reappear since she did me big favour when winning the last time I visited Dunstall Park. That was her first start of the year and after having a decent break of 37 days she can be expected to be come here back in the same form. The drop back to 5 furlongs today shouldn't be a problem and the inside draw of stall 1 is a bonus. Jockey Graham Gibbons has impressed me greatly and a quick look at his jockey stats suggest he is a better sprint rider than most.

Main dangers in the race include Ashes, Hello Roberto and Sahara Silk. Ashes seems to have a bit of seconditis and is slowly creeping back up the handicap without winning. A hard race in the slog at Musselburgh might have taken the edge off her and I'm happy to pass on her. Hello Roberto has hit a rich vein of form in recent weeks, but this is another slight step up in class and a place is her likely position at best. Sahara Silk is another who has crept up the handicap for a couple of placed efforts. She is not easy to win with and with this step up in class again a place would be the best I can see for her.

At a probably 7/2 True Magic represents a confident win bet. I'm hoping Graham Gibbons can stalk the pace - which isn't likely to be too strong with no confirmed front-runner and set True Magic alight down the straight to make it 2 from 2 this year.

Suggested Bet:

4.10 Wolverhampton

3pts Win True Magic

1st and 3rd.......

Katie Killane ran as well as she could and was well-supported into 9/2 but could only finish 3rd to give us a return on our E/W bet.

The saver, Axis Shield - won very nicely and the time was ok too, enough to suggest she can win again in slightly better company - 9/2 was a bigger price than I would have expected.

Current Profit/Loss: +£13.70

Claiming rights at the sandpit....

The first race at Southwell wouldn't be most peoples idea of a good betting race, but there is only two horses who really look like they have good enough form to win the race and they are both trading at backable prices.

Firstly Katie Killane has shown improved form on her last two starts here at Southwell, still well below what was required to win those races, but this represents a big drop in class and a reproduction of either of those runs would see her go very close. If she is ever going to win a race, this must be it.

Axis Shield has shown good speed on her outings and has been crying out for this drop in trip to 5 furlongs today. It would be no surprise if she made all here, but without a run for 112 days and the strange option to bring her into a claimer for her first run back, she looks a win saver bet.

Suggested Bet:

2.30 Southwell

1.5pt E/W Katie Killane
1/2pt Win Axis Shield

Fromsong - weak in the market

Fromsong drifted markedly in the betting pre-race and the race didn't go to plan as he tried to make all. Pieter Brueghul didn't go to the front and Robert Miles had to try and judge the pace from the front. In the final furlong eventual winner Mutamared rolled over to the rail and hampered Fromsong although he looked beaten at the time.

Current Profit/Loss: +£11.60

A tissue......bless me.....

These are my prices for the 3.35 at Lingfield.


Fromsong 11/4
Qadar 7/2
Mutamared 7/1
Pieter Brueghul 8/1
Saviours Spirit 10/1
One More Round 12/1
Cummiskey 16/1
Hornpipe 18/1

Book 100.41%


At the current prices available Fromsong looks overpriced at 4/1 and is a solid E/W selection. Qadar would also be interesting but he doesn't appeal as an E/W bet due to the fact that he has question marks over the 6 furlong trip. His win price is about right.

Saviours Spirit looks massively under-priced and is helping make the market for Fromsong.

Suggested Bet:

3.35 Lingfield

2pts E/W Fromsong

Top class sprint action from Lingfield.....

The 3.35pm at Lingfield tomorrow is a competitve sprint handicap at the higher end of the scale. There is £20,000 in prize money up for grabs so it's no surprise Nick Litmodden brings two of his powerful sprint stars to the fight, and with only 8 runners a return of some sorts for owner Nigel Shields looks on the cards.

As there is only eight runners - I'll run through them all......

1. Qadar - He continues to impress around here over 5 furlongs. His last effort around here was mightly impressive pulling 1 1/4 lengths clear of Fromsong. His draw in stall 2 might put him in the same problems he incurred when getting no run up the inside behind Les Arcs. The trip of 6 furlongs is also a slight unknown - if this was over 5 furlongs he'd be impossible to oppose.

2. One More Round - Nick Littmoden's 2nd representive, has put up three very good efforts in his three starts around here. Possibly missed his best chance last time out, and has shot up 8lb for for those efforts. This extra furlong might be to his advantage, and has the excellent Ryan Moore in the saddle - but this is a big ask.

3. Fromsong - Has quality form at 6 furlongs and is 5lb's better off with Qadar, add to that the 3lb that jockey Robert Miles takes off and he begins to look nicely weighted. He should be back to peak form now, this being his third run back since a mini break in December. He has a nice looking draw in stall 4, where he can either stalk or make the pace from.

4. Cummiskey - Has flashed his tail on occasions and there will be no hiding place today. Has the blinkers on first time, and is plenty high enough in the weights for what he's achieved to date, also has the outside draw in 8 to contend with.

5. Pieter Brueghel - Likes to make all the running, that is no easy task here at Lingfield and his lack of course experience my also count against him. He should win his races again this year, but may need a to drop a few pounds in the handicap first.

6. Hornpipe - A very well bred colt (dam won the Lowther as a 2-y-o) and interesting contender having his first start for Malcolm Saunders. He was very highly tried when trained by Michael Stoute last year in a couple of the most competitive sprint handicaps and for a 3-y-o, performed well. It will be interesting to see how he goes, but he might just need the run like some of the stables other early season runners.

7. Mutamared - A horse on the improve over 6 furlongs last season and another good season looks ahead of him. Unproven on the surface and without a run this year he faces a tough ask against in-form rivals. No surprise to see him contest the Ayr Gold Cup later on in the year though.

8. Saviour's Spirit - Has improved significantly over the winter and deserves to take his chance here. He is now facing the big boys though and looks to have it all to do off his revised mark. There are more races to be won with him, but I can't see it being in this class.

I'll post any bets in the race tomorrow dependent on prices.....

A few quiet days...

A quiet couple of days ahead with some trappy looking sprints. Tommorows two sprints at Lingfield both look tough. My preference would be the 4-y-o+ plus race at 5.15pm. I'll do some solid research later this evening and maybe unearth a betting proposition.

Looking ahead to Saturday - Lingfield hold a good class sprint handicap and top weighted Qadar is improving fast and although he seems like a 5 furlong specialist - he still looks the one to beat here.

Well backed light......

Desert Light was well supported and does the business at a rather skinny 11/2. Hope everyone was on at the earlier 10's or bigger on the exchanges!

Kempsey was unable to perform to the level expected and was unplaced.

Current Profit/Loss: +£15.60

The Racing Post go....8/1

The guys down at the Racing Post know the time of day and put Desert Light in at 8/1, no pulling the wool over those guys eyes.

There is some 12/1 available with one bookmaker, and on the exchanges and at that price the horse still represents an E/W bet.

Onto the 2nd race at Kempton's new polytrack surface, a five furlong contest with some in form runners. The configuration of the track means that horses drawn high should hold some kind of advantage, especially over five furlongs where the bend comes up quickly.

Native Title returned to form last time out, but the race was very weak and he would need to step up again to win this event, at the age of eight and a poor looking draw in stall 4, he is easily passed over at 4/1.

Effective drops down to the minimum trip after some bold front running efforts over six furlongs. I'm not convinced he has the speed for five furlongs and until he shows it on the track - I'll leave him out.

The one I like is well drawn Kempsey from stall 11. He has run some solid races in defeat - the times of which give him a leading chance here. He likes to be up with the pace, something I feel will be a major plus around Kempton until the jockeys get an idea about the speed to go early. At 12/1 he looks a solid E/W bet.

Of the others, Zarzu has it all to do, to come from stall 1 and his hold up style might not be suited here.

Desert Lord is a complete unknown as he has moved from Alan Berry's stable to Kevin Ryan, drawn well in stall 12, and heavy market support bode well for his chance. I'll have to pass him over though, without a start for 163 days, he faces some fit and in form rivals here.

Suggested Bet:

5.30 Wolverhampton

1pt E/W Desert Light

2.20 Kempton

1pt E/W Kempsey

Desert to show the light.......

The last race at Wolverhampton tomorrow is a competitive banded event and the Sporting Life web-site betting forecast reflects that. I believe they could be massively out of line with one in this race.

Desert Light's form entitles him to be no bigger than 7/1 for this race - yet the Life have posted up 16/1!

He has an ideal draw in stall 2 - where he should be able to get a good lead into the straight. His win over course and distance four runs back also came from stall 2. His form since that win has been good considering he has had poor draws on each occasion. This drop into banded company looks like an ideal opportunity to get back to winning ways and with Dane O'Neill booked a good run is expected.

It will be interesting to see what price this horse trades overnight on the exchanges.

The saver wins.....

Diamond Josh was well supported on track from an early 9/1 into 13/2, he couldn't deliver in the race though and after leading faded to finish unplaced.

Saver bet Guilded Cove went on to win comfortably and always looked to be going well, another well supported into 3/1.


Current Profit/Loss: +£9.00

Take aim and claim....

Claimers are not usually races to play in, but when an opportunity arises like today, I feel we must invest.

The 7.00 at Wolverhampton will not be the first race looked at by most punters today, with Kempton unveiling their new Polytrack surface, but I've given it a good wash over with the form-book and come up with a nice bet.

Diamond Josh could get a very easy lead up front and his form entitles him to plenty of respect - He has gone close in a couple of handicaps recently, and he'll be very difficult to keep out of the first three with a decent chance of winning too. I wouldn't have expected his price to be anything over 7/1 so the current price of 10/1 with Ladbrokes is big enough for us to have a solid E/W bet. Diamon Josh will try and lead to the final bend then kick on and try and steal the race, it will not be a surprise if he holds on.

Expect Guilded Cove to be the biggest danger to Diamond Josh, he could really do with a very strong pace, and if any one decides to take Diamond Josh on for the lead - Guilded Cove will be the one to take advantage. His price is much nearer to his chances of winning, and anything over 7/2 is value. He can be backed as a saver to Diamond Josh.

Suggested Bet:

7.00 Wolverhampton

3pts E/W Diamond Josh
2pts Win Guilded Cove
1/2pt Reverse Forecast, Diamond Josh & Guilded Cove

Placed & Placed

Both horses ran good races without looking like winning to place behind nice winner Qadar. The withdrawal pre-race of Treasure Cay @4/1 proved a costly 20p in the £ rule 4 deduction. Overall a minimal loss on the day, and not to far away from a good return.


Current Profit/Loss: +£10.00

Get a round in...

The 4.35 at Lingfield is a top class sprint handicap for horses rated 0-100. One More Round rated 90 looks set for a hike in the handicap after running only a length and a half behind 107 rated Les Arcs off level weights. That race was run at a fierce pace and One More Round came from nearly last to fly home in 3rd. He needs a very strongly run race to perform to his best and with Dancing Mystery again in todays field that is assured. Don't be put off by the fact he hasn't won for a while, connections have struggled to find his trip on the all-weather. His only 2 runs over 5 furlongs at Lingfield have brought about top class form and a reproduction of either of those efforts would see him go very close and at a likely 4/1 looks a free each-way bet.

The main danger is Fromsong who has a great course and distance record and his credentials look rock solid in this race and is another who should be backed each-way at the likely odds of 5/1.

Suggested bet:

4.35 Lingfield

2.5pt E/W One More Round
2.5pt E/W Fromsong
1/2pt Reverse Exacta, One More Round + Fromsong

Last to first.....

Mambazo came from last to first to win the 5.20 at Lingfield to give us our 3rd consecutive winning bet at a well supported 5/2.

Each-Way selection Poker Player never got competitive after fluffing the start - the fact that he couldn't land a blow was a clear sign that the pace was fast which suited Mambazo to perfection.

Early morning favourite Holbeck Ghyll showed plenty of pace and ran a satisfactory race on his return, back on fast ground on turf at a more suitable course he would be of some interest.

Current Profit/Loss: +£12.00

Opposing the favourite....

The last race of the day Lingfield brings Andrew Baldings Holbeck Ghyll back to the racecourse after an absence of 194 days. He finished last season with 3 straight wins and has been installed as favourite for today's race. I believe there are strong reasons to oppose him today, these being.

• Lack of a recent run - his three wins last year came in the space of 9 days. He has a poor record fresh.
• His three wins came on tracks with an incline all the way to the line - the track at Lingfield wouldn't be ideal.
• He has a tendency to hang a little right in his races - a big negative at Lingfield.
• No all-weather form - his only attempt, he finished last at Wolverhampton.
• His 3 wins came in my opinion quite weak races.

For those reasons he must be opposed today - the strongest reason his tendency to hang slightly right - which at Bath, Salisbury and Sandown isn't an inconvenience - but at a sharp left-handed Lingfield could be a massive negative.

I'm going to take him on with two runners. Firstly Poker Player, who has been crying out for a drop down to five furlongs - his run last time at Wolverhampton was an improvement on his previous efforts and another furlong drop should be in his favour. Seb Sanders has been booked to ride, if he sets a good even tempo either in front or just behind Tartatartufata he could nick this and I'm very hopeful of a return on the place side of the bet at 12/1

The other is the tough and consistent Mambazo who likes to come off the pace and has a decent draw today in stall 2 after three poor draws in his last runs at Wolverhampton. The quicker they go today the better for him and there is likely to be a decent gallop guaranteed.

Suggested Bet:

5.20 Lingfield

1pt E/W Poker Player

2pt Win Mambazo

More joy at the sandpit of Southwell

Stoneacre Boy does the job very easily beating Garlogs by 3 lengths, with a further 6 lengths back to the 3rd horse.

The return of 6/4 was value and fully justified the 3pt win stake.

Current Profit/Loss: £9.00

Stoneacre joy?

Stoneacre Boy has ticks in all the right boxes - anything over 11/10 would be value and at a likely 6/4 he should be bet today.

Suggested Bet:

2.20 Southwell

3pt Win Stoneacre Boy

Opening event at Southwell on Monday....

Stoneacre Boy has impressed me strongly on his last two outings. The clock doesn't lie and his 4 length victory of course and distance was set in a good time. He may well have improved on that last time setting a very strong pace over 6 furlongs at Wolverhampton, keeping on well to finish 2nd. He has only gone up 1lb in the handicap for that last run and with an improving profile he looks the one to beat here.

Main danger will no doubt be Garlogs who has a strong course & distance record. He may though have reached his level of progression and is a little vulnerable to an improver - add to that Stoneacre Boy's trainer Peter Grayson will have a good idea how good Garlogs is - after his own Stoneacre Lad comfortably beat him.

If Stoneacre Boy reproduces his form over C&D he should be able to score here.


Final decision made tomorrow - dependent on price.

:) Into profit....

Les Arcs goes in as expected at a generous 5/2, easily holding Fyodor on the run to the line.


Current Profit/Loss: +£5.50

Saturday @ Lingfield

Lingfields Winter Derby meeting brings together the cream of All-Weather sprinting. At the head of the market are William Haggas' Fyodor and T.J. Pitts Les Arcs. At todays weights Les Arcs just has to turn in similar form to his recent beating Fyodor to secure victory today and it is surprising he is available at 2/1.

Suggested Bet:

2.05 Lingfield

5pt Win Les Arcs

Just as....

Just as nobody seems to be getting any winners at Cheltenham - I'm following suit on the All-Weather!!

Sweet Pickle ran a complete no-race - it looks like this slight class and weight rise did for her in spectacular fashion. As with dirt racing in America a class hike or drop is usually significant and I'll be a lot more cautious when selecting exposed horses who are up in grade.

One sprint race tomorrow at Lingfield and it looks a trappy event with 3 Dandy Nicholls runners returning after a break - 2 of which are more than capable in this company even with the uncertainity of the surface/track.

Current Profit/Loss: -£7.00

Another day... Another sprint...

The last race is Southwell only has 10 runners but is quite competitive and again there looks to be plenty of early pace to ensure a true race. The early pace battle is likely to be won by Misaro, but with Winthorpe, Alpaga Le Jomage, Desert Opal and Shifty Night all in attendance - this is not certain. Winning Pleasure is in good form and must have an E/W chance, but is likely to find one or two too good.

The selection is hold up performer Sweet Pickle who has really impressed on her last two outings, travelling well on both occassions - and overcoming traffic problems last time to win cosily. A rise is the weights is unlikely to stop her - and the fact that she is guaranteed a good lead in this race is a confident E/W selection. The draw in stall one isn't perfect - as long as Danny Tudhope brings her off the rail early - this shouldn't inconvenience.


Suggested bet:

5.40 Southwell

2pt E/W Sweet Pickle

A brave effort....

Smile for Us did us proud with a brave front running effort from his wide draw. Attempting to make all from his draw in 9 of 12 he used a lot of energy to get the inside rail. He was only out-pointed towards the final furlong by the well-backed favourite Danetime Lord. At 16/1 he ran above market expectations, finishing 4 lengths clear of the the third horse he can win in this grade when getting a softer lead and better draw.

Trombone Tom travelled well for most of the race but was squeezed for room approaching the final bend and got slightly outpaced by the front two. He stayed on one-pace to finish 6th of the 12 runners, a disappointing effort considering his SP of 4/1.

Danetime Lord responded well to a positive ride and isn't as quirky as first thought. This was a nice effort - he benefitted from the strong pace and inside draw.

Current Profit/Loss: -£3.00

Not to be..

A poor show by both horses yesterday - neither were at the races and Ladies Knight is clearly finding his own ideas and way of coming out of the stalls! He may be of slight interest in the same grade back at Wolverhampton.

Onto todays racing and the last race Wolverhampton is where the concentration lies. There looks to be lots of horses who want to be up there with the pace - but non more so than Smile For Us. He has twice gone close in this grade - attempting to make all, finishing 2nd on both occasions. Those two good runs were split by another creditable effort against older horses - where he was taken on for the lead but showed guts to keep on for 6th. He possibly went to quick on his latest outing and if able to set softer fractions here has a leading chance - even from his wide draw.

The other big possible for the race is Trombone Tom who holds a few of these on form - and his inside draw of 3 could significant. Should be able to lie close to the pace and if Smile For Us goes to quick - he would be the one most likely to pounce.

The favourite Danetime Lord seems a little quirky - flashing his tail like a windmill on his last run. He also as pace - but clearly doesn't want an aggressive ride at the moment and he may be forced to battle and for these reasons - he's readily passed over. He might be better when gelded.

Suggested bet is:

6.00 Wolverhampton

1.5pt E/W Trombone Tom
1.5pt E/W Smile For Us
1/4pt Reverse Exacta


Current Profit/Loss - £5.50

All systems go...

It's all systems for the first bet(s), both prices look very fair with Ladies Knight around 16/1 and On The Trail about 7/1.


Suggested bet is:

2.25 Southwell

2pts E/W Ladies Knight
1pt E/W On The Trail
1/4pt Reverse Exacta

One day to go...

One day to go till the big race.......No, not the Champion Hurdle, the 0-45 rated Banded Stakes at Southwell of course!

At The Races video archive has been the kind of web-site sent from above and they have just archived Ladies Knight's last two races. The first was over a hugely testing for this sprinter 9 furlong event. No surprises that Ladies Knight finished a long way behind. On his latest start over 7 furlongs, the jockey simply forgot the hood was still on the horse as the stalls opened, losing 10 lengths at the start can be described as a hinderance!!

It appears to me the only reason this horse has been campaigned over these longer trips is to get into one of these banded races. Ladies Knights has a tendency to break a little slowly, hopefully Jamie Mackay will bounce him out the stalls and chase him along all the way as this seems the best way to ride him.

The Sporting Life web-site have given their betting forecast for the race - putting Ladies Knight in at 16/1. The Racing Post put their forecast up later on today - and their prices are the ones that most exchange punters use a guide, so it will be interesting to see what they put up.

A market move for the horse would also be significant, as the last time he was backed, he was given a seriously tough ride to finish a fast finishing 2nd.

The Sporting Life have also put my 2nd choice On The Trail in at 10/1 - which would be a very fair price. A small reverse forecast as well perhaps?

Cheltenham? - Na'h thanks - Southwell? - Yes please...

On Tuesday all eyes will be on Cheltenham - but I've been giving the sand-pit at Southwell the once over - and hopefully have unearthed a little gem amongst the banded boys.

Ladies Knight could be a real springer in the opening race at 2.25 - Derek Shaw's 6-y-o takes a drop down to banded class for the first time - the handicapper has finally relented after some dismal efforts over distances which he clearly doesn't stay.

Over 5 furlongs at Southwell the middle has been the place to be - and Ladies Knight has picked up a welcome draw in 7.

No doubt we'll be taking a chance as to what mood he's in. Derek Shaw is quoted as saying "he has a temperament problem" - the price could more than compensate - he could easily be 20/1 +

On The Trail is another I like in the race - he comes here in good enough form to win, his price is much more likely to be accurate though and could be worth a saver.

I'll give more thoughts and more indepth analysis nearer the race.