Monday, March 27, 2006

The Racing Post go....8/1

The guys down at the Racing Post know the time of day and put Desert Light in at 8/1, no pulling the wool over those guys eyes.

There is some 12/1 available with one bookmaker, and on the exchanges and at that price the horse still represents an E/W bet.

Onto the 2nd race at Kempton's new polytrack surface, a five furlong contest with some in form runners. The configuration of the track means that horses drawn high should hold some kind of advantage, especially over five furlongs where the bend comes up quickly.

Native Title returned to form last time out, but the race was very weak and he would need to step up again to win this event, at the age of eight and a poor looking draw in stall 4, he is easily passed over at 4/1.

Effective drops down to the minimum trip after some bold front running efforts over six furlongs. I'm not convinced he has the speed for five furlongs and until he shows it on the track - I'll leave him out.

The one I like is well drawn Kempsey from stall 11. He has run some solid races in defeat - the times of which give him a leading chance here. He likes to be up with the pace, something I feel will be a major plus around Kempton until the jockeys get an idea about the speed to go early. At 12/1 he looks a solid E/W bet.

Of the others, Zarzu has it all to do, to come from stall 1 and his hold up style might not be suited here.

Desert Lord is a complete unknown as he has moved from Alan Berry's stable to Kevin Ryan, drawn well in stall 12, and heavy market support bode well for his chance. I'll have to pass him over though, without a start for 163 days, he faces some fit and in form rivals here.

Suggested Bet:

5.30 Wolverhampton

1pt E/W Desert Light

2.20 Kempton

1pt E/W Kempsey

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Your a danger to bookies,stop posting or else!