The 4.10pm at Wolverhampton is a 5 furlong 20 yards fillies only handicap and quite competitive at first glance with several of the runners in good recent form.
I have been waiting for True Magic to reappear since she did me big favour when winning the last time I visited Dunstall Park. That was her first start of the year and after having a decent break of 37 days she can be expected to be come here back in the same form. The drop back to 5 furlongs today shouldn't be a problem and the inside draw of stall 1 is a bonus. Jockey Graham Gibbons has impressed me greatly and a quick look at his jockey stats suggest he is a better sprint rider than most.
Main dangers in the race include Ashes, Hello Roberto and Sahara Silk. Ashes seems to have a bit of seconditis and is slowly creeping back up the handicap without winning. A hard race in the slog at Musselburgh might have taken the edge off her and I'm happy to pass on her. Hello Roberto has hit a rich vein of form in recent weeks, but this is another slight step up in class and a place is her likely position at best. Sahara Silk is another who has crept up the handicap for a couple of placed efforts. She is not easy to win with and with this step up in class again a place would be the best I can see for her.
At a probably 7/2 True Magic represents a confident win bet. I'm hoping Graham Gibbons can stalk the pace - which isn't likely to be too strong with no confirmed front-runner and set True Magic alight down the straight to make it 2 from 2 this year.
Suggested Bet:
4.10 Wolverhampton
3pts Win True Magic
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
2 comments:
Good luck, Shoes.
I shall be following you in.
Can you have a good look at the sprint at Bath tomorrow.
Will be there and it would be nice to have your input.
unlucky Shoes. I had a 'virtual' bet on True Magic (via OLBG). Watched the race and she is one for the notebook (unlucky in running, couldn't get off the rail)
Post a Comment