Monday, April 17, 2006

Want a winner? Just nod.

Sir Nod is one to be on the right side of today. Firstly at Redcar, I always prefer a horse drawn middle to low - and Sir Nod has a nice position in stall 2. Redcar also suits horses up with the pace and Sir Nod is likely to be front-rank all the way. In his last race at Wolverhampton back in October he ran Fyodor to a head only giving best in the final strides. Considering Fyodor was a 4-y-o and that they were racing off level weights - this was some effort when you look at Fyodor's future runs. Fyodor was running off 73 in that race - he has since gone on to record victories off 83, 89 and 98. That run alone gives him an outstanding chance in this race.

With any amount of improvement likely for Sir Nod over the winter he could prove to be very well-handicapped today. The ground is a slight concern with connections suggesting he needs a bit of cut in the ground, but Good to Firm (good in places) shouldn't be too much of a hinderence with his efforts on polytrack fresh in the mind. The fact that he hasn't run for 170 days could also be a negative, but I'd be very surprised if he didn't finish this season on a signficantly higher mark that 78.

Suggested Bet:

3.25 Lingfield

2.5pts E/W Sir Nod

1 comment:

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